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Current Win Probability
Union Omaha 71.6%
Draw 16.6%
Richmond Kickers 11.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.8%
19.5%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.6%
18.5%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Jensen C. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. 6. Guediri S. 16. Wootton L. (C) 8. Gabriel Cabral 20. Ors Navarro S. 12. Vargas M. 77. Gavilanes A. 21. Gomez A.
1. Fillion Y. (G) 45. Hanson H. 4. Layton S. 22. Vinberg S. 3. Anderson H. 32. Bolduc M. 12. O'Malley O. 2. Barnathan D. (C) 19. Espinal D. 23. Freeman T. 14. Vazquez Z.
Substitutes
7. Billhardt A. 9. Botello Faz P. 28. Caceres E. 17. Gutierrez D. 27. Jiba R. 3. Malone B. 24. Nuhu R. (G)
44. Gallegos A. 34. Howell B. 7. Johnson L. 9. Kirkland J. 11. Pannholzer T. 6. Sasankhah A. 35. Sneddon J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Ors Navarro S. ⚽, Guediri S. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽, Ors Navarro S. (A),
36', O'Malley O. 🟨,
38', 3 - 0, Vinberg S. (Own goal),
39', Owusu S. 🟨,
41', Vargas M. 🟨,
43', 3 - 1, Bolduc M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Vazquez Z. ↓, Kirkland J. ↑,
59', O'Malley O. ↓, Sasankhah A. ↑,
64', Gomez A. ↓, Botello Faz P. ↑,
64', Vargas M. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
65', Bolduc M. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
65', Espinal D. ↓, Pannholzer T. ↑,
67', 4 - 1, Gutierrez D. ⚽, Gavilanes A. (A),
72', Vinberg S. ↓, Howell B. ↑,
74', Ors Navarro S. ↓, Billhardt A. ↑,
75', Wootton L. ↓, Jiba R. ↑,
84', Gabriel Cabral ↓, Caceres E. ↑,
86', Caceres E. 🟨,
90', 5 - 1, Gavilanes A. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 1.
Union Omaha is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Richmond Kickers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Union Omaha has had a series of away games.
In this match, Union Omaha is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Union Omaha won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).