Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Zamora		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.5
	1.78	3.2	4.55
	1.78	3.23	5.01
	1.8	3.23	4.88	Watch
	1.75	3	4.5
	1.8	3.33	4.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.74)	3.2 ↓ (3.27)	4.69 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
51.7%

Draw
28.7%

Arenteiro
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.9%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

24.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Zamora - Arenteiro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Zamora (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 23. Lopez S. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 5. Ruiz E. 20. Codina M. 22. Sancho J. 16. Lozano M. 10. Ramos C. (C) 19. Abde 7. Kike 9. Losada M.	13. Garcia D. (C) 22. Sanchez J. 3. Lohr L. 4. Falcon E. 16. Lasure D. 11. Cuellar J. 6. Val B. 21. Lopez A. 15. Moreno D. 7. Ferreiro D. 14. Safrai
Substitutes
4. Athuman I. 15. Buron L. 17. Carbonell J. 6. Garcia M. 21. Lopez M. 3. Merchan D. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A.	19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 25. Bastida A. 10. Chuca 8. Gonzalez D. 23. Kandoussi B. 18. Mingo V. 17. Molina A. 2. Moya P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Ruiz E. 🟨,
61', 🟨,
62', Lopez S. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
63', 🟨,
65', Sancho J. 🟨,
68', 1 - 0, Losada M. ⚽,
77', Abde ↓, Buron L. ↑,
80', (Penalty Awarded),
88', Sancho J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
88', Ramos C. ↓, Merchan D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2.

In recent matches, Zamora has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arenteiro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Zamora is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.03.26	Real Avilés - Zamora	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Zamora - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Zamora	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Zamora - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Mérida AD - Zamora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLTL
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.03.26	Arenteiro - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Arenteiro - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Talavera de la Reina - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Arenteiro - Real Avilés	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.09.25	Arenteiro - Zamora	0:0
03.05.25	Arenteiro - Zamora	1:1
22.12.24	Zamora - Arenteiro	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.04.23	Zamora - Arenteiro	1:0
17.12.22	Arenteiro - Zamora	1:1
Spanish Copa Federacion
05.10.22	Arenteiro - Zamora	2:1

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