Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Esport3, FEF TV


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Zamora

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4
	1.93	3	3.7
	1.96	3.15	4
	1.99	3.26	3.93
	1.95	3.21	3.81	Watch
	1.96	3.18	3.87
	1.96	3.15	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.14)	3.14 ↑ (3.12)	3.9 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
47%

Draw
29.4%

Zamora
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rebollo D. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 15. Leal A. 14. Sanz O. 21. Oriol J. 16. Lopez A. 6. Gorostidi A. 23. Concha D. 17. Fernandez P. 22. Narro V. 9. Antonin	1. Sobron F. (G) 23. Campabadal E. 16. Gutierrez C. 6. Ramirez J. 3. Nieto S. 15. Lucero R. 14. Kike 4. Claveria P. 10. Ramos C. 18. Macho G. 17. Roni
Substitutes
11. Fernandez M. 10. Jardi J. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Jimenez N. 8. Montalvo M. 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Tirlea A. 1. Varo A. (G) 2. Vicens B.	13. Altube D. (G) 22. Castaneda J. 2. Gorjon A. 7. Hernandez D. 11. Mancebo A. 21. Priego J. 19. Speljak K. 20. Tresaco R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Claveria P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Kike 🟨,
59', Lopez A. ↓, Montalvo M. ↑,
59', Narro V. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
61', Claveria P. ↓, Tresaco R. ↑,
61', Lucero R. ↓, Priego J. ↑,
65', Domingo Ciuraneta P. 🟨,
70', Concha D. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
70', Antonin ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
80', Roni ↓, Gorjon A. ↑,
83', Gorjon A. 🟨,
86', Macho G. ↓, Mancebo A. ↑,
86', Kike ↓, Speljak K. ↑,
88', Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↓, Tirlea A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Gorostidi A. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gimnàstic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.12.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Huesca	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	2:3 ✺
27.11.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWW
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.24	Zamora - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Celta de Vigo B - Zamora	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Zamora - Lugo	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWT

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