Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Mexico	Sky Sport
Spain	M+ LaLiga TV 2
Usa	ESPN+


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.83	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.85
	4.33	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.32	3.37	1.9
	4.33	3.54	1.81	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.75
	4.55	3.55	1.83
	4.33	3.4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (4)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
21.7%

Draw
27%

Rayo Vallecano
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

26.8%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

25.1%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Unionistas de Salamanca - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G) 23. Pascual A. 4. Mayor R. 5. Baz I. 21. Verges E. 6. Rabadan D. 16. Gonzalez I. 7. Rastrojo J. 10. de la Nava C. 11. Gomez A. 19. Arriba J.	1. Cardenas D. (G) 20. Balliu I. 5. Hernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 22. Espino A. 4. Diaz P. 15. Gumbau G. 8. Trejo O. 10. Rodriguez J. 12. Guardiola S. 14. Camello S.
Substitutes
17. Garcia D. 1. Martinez I. (G) 8. Martinez P. 9. Moreno I. 22. Santamaria G. 26. Serrano Garcia M. 14. Tavares R. 20. Tur J. A. 30. Witmer S.	13. Batalla A. (G) 3. Chavarria P. 6. Ciss P. 19. de Frutos J. 21. Embarba A. 17. Lopez U. 29. Mendez D. 25. Montiel J. 16. Mumin A. 11. Nteka R. 7. Palazon I.
Coaches
Llacer D.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Baz I. ⚽, Arriba J. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Trejo O. ⚽,
43', Arriba J. 🟨,
45+4', Verges E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mayor R. ↓, Serrano Garcia M. ↑,
46', Espino A. 🟨,
52', Trejo O. 🟨,
54', 2 - 2, Diaz P. ⚽,
56', Guardiola S. 🟨,
59', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
64', Gonzalez I. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
64', Arriba J. ↓, Tur J. A. ↑,
64', Fernandez P. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,
69', Guardiola S. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
69', Rodriguez J. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
74', de la Nava C. ↓, Santamaria G. ↑,
78', Embarba A. 🟨,
79', Trejo O. ↓, Nteka R. ↑,
79', Camello S. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Embarba A. ⚽,
86', Ciss P. 🟥,
89', Pascual A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

Unionistas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rayo Vallecano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	FC Andorra - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Osasuna B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTTTW
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
01.12.24	Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
08.11.24	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Villamuriel - Rayo Vallecano	0:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.24	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW

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