Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 8 January 2024, Monday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)

Referee: Busquets Ferrer M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.75	1.36	Watch
	8.25	5	1.37	Watch
	8	4.75	1.36	Watch
	8.67	5	1.38
	8.69	5.01	1.35
	8	4.75	1.29	Watch
	9.07	4.76	1.36	Watch
	8	4.8	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.4 ↑ (7.16)	4.85 ↑ (4.32)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
11.2%

Draw
19.3%

Villarreal
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

21.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

19.6%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	5.9%	76.5%

Unionistas de Salamanca - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Unionistas will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Villarreal will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 2. Camus S. 4. Mayor R. 22. Gimenez C. 15. Jimenez E. 11. Gomez A. 8. Hector 6. Villar J. 23. Serrano J. 9. Slavy 7. Losada M.	1. Reina P. (G) 26. Altimira A. 12. Bailly E. 5. Cuenca J. 18. Moreno A. 16. Baena A. 4. Comesana S. 10. Parejo D. 27. Akhomach I. 7. Moreno G. (C) 15. Morales J. L.
Substitutes
13. Cacharron P. (G) 24. de Bustos H. 16. Gomez A. 25. Lopez P. 14. Planas A. 10. Ramirez M. 17. Rastrojo J. 3. Rojo J. 5. Ruiz E. 21. Teijeira A. 20. Tur J. A.	6. Capoue E. 40. Fores A. 13. Jorgensen F. (G) 17. Kiko 42. Lekovic S. 11. Sorloth A. 20. Terrats R. 14. Trigueros M.
Coaches
Ponz D.	Marcelino G.

Preview

Unionistas is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Villarreal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Villarreal is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.01.24	Barcelona B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:2 ✺
16.12.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Teruel	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Sabadell - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.12.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WTLWW
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
02.01.24	Valencia - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
20.12.23	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	3:2 ✺
17.12.23	Real Madrid - Villarreal	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.12.23	Rennes - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.12.23	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWL

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