Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 14 December 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Rennes		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.8	3.6
	1.98	3.7	3.6
	2.02	3.8	3.65	Watch
	2.04	3.83	3.62
	2.01	3.83	3.62
	2	3.6	3.4
	2	3.75	3.6
	2.01	3.7	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.32)	3.75 ↑ (3.53)	3.58 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
47.8%

Draw
25.5%

Villarreal
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rennes's performance.

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rennes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	20%	8.6%

Rennes - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Villarreal will win (votes: 3 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 56.4% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mandanda S. (C) 22. Assignon L. 15. Wooh C. 16. Belocian J. 5. Theate A. 14. Bourigeaud B. 28. Le Fee E. 21. Matic N. 43. Nagida M. 99. Yildirim B. 7. Terrier M.	1. Reina P. (G) 8. Foyth J. 3. Albiol R. (C) 2. Gabbia M. 26. Altimira A. 27. Akhomach I. 6. Capoue E. 10. Parejo D. 16. Baena A. 7. Moreno G. 11. Sorloth A.
Substitutes
11. Blas L. 33. Doue D. 17. Doue G. 1. Gallon G. (G) 10. Gouiri A. 9. Kalimuendo A. 40. Lembet G. (G) 23. Omari W. 32. Rieder F. 34. Salah I. 8. Santamaria B. 3. Truffert A.	31. Alvarez I. (G) 9. Brereton Diaz B. 19. Coquelin F. 5. Cuenca J. 13. Jorgensen F. (G) 17. Kiko 15. Morales J. L. 18. Moreno A. 20. Terrats R. 14. Trigueros M.
Coaches
Stephan J.	Marcelino G.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Villarreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Villarreal have a series of home games.

Rennes will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Villarreal: Comesana S. (Ankle Injury) Mandi A. (Ankle Injury) Pedraza A. (Yellow Cards) Pino Y. (Knee Injury) Suarez D. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rennes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
09.12.23	Rennes - Monaco	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Maccabi Haifa - Rennes	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
26.11.23	Rennes - Reims	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Rennes - Lyon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
09.12.23	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.12.23	Villarreal - Maccabi Haifa	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.12.23	Sevilla - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Villarreal - Panathinaikos	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.11.23	Villarreal - Osasuna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Villarreal - Rennes	1:0

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