Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.85
	3.85	3.5	1.92	Watch
	3.38	3.4	2.1
	3.8	3.49	1.94
	3.7	3.4	1.85
	3.72	3.46	1.91	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.67)	3.44 ↓ (3.47)	1.91 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
25%

Draw
26.8%

Sporting Cristal
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

26.8%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting Cristal: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 5. Deneumostier A. 6. Perea G. 2. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 32. Madrid J. 10. Velez J. 33. Benitez E. 8. Ysique F. 23. Da Silva P. 17. Mena Y. 9. Paolo Guerrero	12. Solis R. (G) 15. Lora J. 14. Ignacio 4. Chavez G. 28. Pasquini N. 55. Cazonatti G. 25. Tavara M. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 20. Grimaldo J. 11. Avila I.
Substitutes
13. Barreto G. 7. Barreto O. 14. Cabello C. 21. Carvallo J. (G) 22. Flores F. 3. Ganoza M. 24. Olaya S. 27. Ramirez A. 28. Santibanez S.	30. Alarcon J. 27. Ascues A. 23. Castro M. 9. Cauteruccio M. 31. Enriquez D. (G) 10. Hohberg A. 24. Pacheco F. 29. Posito Olazabal A. J. 26. Wisdom I.
Coaches
Salas G.	Moreira E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Tavara M. (A),
10', Quinones Goicochea J. J. ↓, Cabello C. ↑,
20', 1 - 1, Velez J. ⚽, Cabello C. (A),
30', Benitez E. ↓, Barreto G. ↑,
32', Velez J. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Velez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Avila I. ↓, Cauteruccio M. ↑,
46', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
59', Tavara M. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
65', Yotun Y. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
75', Grados C. 🟨,
78', Mena Y. 🟨,
82', Grimaldo J. ↓, Pacheco F. ↑,
90+1', Velez J. ↓, Ganoza M. ↑,
90+3', Pasquini N. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 2.

César Vallejo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sporting Cristal is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

César Vallejo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently César Vallejo have a series of guest games.

Sporting Cristal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28-37.

Including matches at home between the teams César Vallejo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Always Ready - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
20.04.24	ADT Tarma - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Comerciantes Unidos	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.24	Independiente Medellín - Universidad César Vallejo	4:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
06.04.24	Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLT
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
21.04.24	Sporting Cristal - Cusco	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	2:3 ✺
07.04.24	Sporting Cristal - Sport Huancayo	4:0 ✺
31.03.24	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
13.03.24	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
21.09.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal	0:1
28.04.23	Sporting Cristal - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1
28.08.22	Sporting Cristal - Universidad César Vallejo	0:0
08.04.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal	2:0
14.08.21	Sporting Cristal - Universidad César Vallejo	0:1
22.05.21	Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal	3:0
01.03.20	Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal	1:1

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