Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Universidad Católica		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.55	3.4	2.4
	2.75	3.35	2.3	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.35
	2.87	3.6	2.4
	2.75	3.3	2.35	Watch
	2.79	3.58	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.82)	3.42 ↓ (3.46)	2.35 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
33.9%

Draw
27%

LDU Quito
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.5%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

19.3%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universidad Católica - LDU Quito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3).

Two teams are playing changeable.

LDU Quito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 29 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 37-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Copa Sudamericana
03.12.20	Universidad Católica - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.11.20	Universidad Católica - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
22.11.20	Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWTW
- LDU Quito
Copa Libertadores
01.12.20	Santos - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.11.20	LDU Quito - Olmedo	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.11.20	LDU Quito - Santos	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.11.20	Guayaquil City - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
18.11.20	LDU Quito - Emelec	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.08.20	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica	2:1
27.11.19	Universidad Católica - LDU Quito	0:2
23.11.19	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica	2:3
13.07.19	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica	1:5
16.02.19	Universidad Católica - LDU Quito	0:0
13.10.18	Universidad Católica - LDU Quito	0:1
03.10.18	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica	1:0

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