Match Info

Date: 24 November 2020, Tuesday


	LDU Quito		Santos

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.67	3.75	5
	1.65	3.65	5.1	Watch
	1.67	3.55	5
	1.72	3.72	5.35
	1.7	3.6	5.25
	1.68	3.78	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	3.69 ↑ (3.52)	5.17 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
56.2%

Draw
25.6%

Santos
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

15.9%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-23.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LDU Quito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	8.8%	23.5%

LDU Quito - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). Santos will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 51.9% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

LDU Quito is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match LDU Quito is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.11.20	Guayaquil City - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
18.11.20	LDU Quito - Emelec	1:2 ✺
14.11.20	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	4:1 ✺
11.11.20	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
06.11.20	LDU Quito - Orense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWWW
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
21.11.20	Athletico Paranaense - Santos	1:0 ✺
14.11.20	Santos - Internacional RS	2:0 ✺
08.11.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.11.20	Ceará - Santos	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.11.20	Santos - Bahia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTLW

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