Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday


	Santos		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.75	4.2
	1.79	3.65	4.1	Watch
	1.78	3.6	4.2
	1.82	3.89	4.37
	1.85	3.5	4.2
	1.82	3.72	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.88)	3.69 ↑ (3.49)	4.25 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
52.2%

Draw
25.5%

LDU Quito
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	6.1%	15.2%

Santos - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos will win (26 of 33 users predict this - 78.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.84% – 92.74%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Santos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches LDU Quito is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

LDU Quito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently LDU Quito have a series of home games.

In this match Santos is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
28.11.20	Santos - Sport Recife	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.11.20	LDU Quito - Santos	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
21.11.20	Athletico Paranaense - Santos	1:0 ✺
14.11.20	Santos - Internacional RS	2:0 ✺
08.11.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWLWT
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.11.20	LDU Quito - Olmedo	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.11.20	LDU Quito - Santos	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.11.20	Guayaquil City - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
18.11.20	LDU Quito - Emelec	1:2 ✺
14.11.20	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
24.11.20	LDU Quito - Santos	1:2

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