Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 26

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	LDU Quito		Emelec

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	6.5	Watch
	1.52	3.70	5.25
	1.52	3.75	5.7	Watch
	1.53	4.05	6.65
	1.56	3.93	5.97	Watch
	1.47	3.95	7.15
	1.54	3.72	6.54	Watch
	1.5	3.85	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	3.83 ↓ (3.92)	6.2 ↑ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
61%

Draw
24.1%

Emelec
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

23.9%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

23.4%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

LDU Quito - Emelec Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - LDU Quito (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Dominguez A. (C) 26. Zambrano I. 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 44. Segovia L. 67. Carabali J. 8. Pretell J. 31. Rodriguez J. 13. Corozo J. 10. Alvarado A. 23. Quinonez Y. 16. Deyverson	90. Bores E. (G) 13. Gomez L. 27. Leon F. (C) 2. Leguizamon A. 51. Valencia S. 3. Guerrico I. 5. Mina A. 32. Valverde J. 6. Griffith V. 9. Carrillo R. 15. Fragozo L.
Substitutes
4. Ade R. 20. Cornejo F. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 11. Estrada M. 32. Gomez A. 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 99. Luna Tobar C. 27. Mina R. 25. Ortiz P. 1. Valle G. (G) 77. Velasco K. 15. Villamil G.	21. Cevallos J. 26. Cuero I. 7. Klimowicz L. 30. Mina A. 8. Napoli G. 10. Pizzini F. 16. Quintero S. 19. Ruiz J. 59. Saya R. 4. Segura E. 1. Valero M. (G) 24. Viteri A.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Nasuti C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Corozo J. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
16', Valencia S. 🟨,
18', 2 - 0, Segovia L. ⚽, Deyverson (A),
37', Valencia S. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
45+6', Corozo J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fragozo L. ↓, Klimowicz L. ↑,
46', Griffith V. ↓, Napoli G. ↑,
59', Mina A. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
69', Deyverson ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
69', Alvarado A. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
76', Gomez L. 🟨,
80', Gomez L. ↓, Saya R. ↑,
81', Rodriguez J. ↓, Gonzalez Baquero S. ↑,
90+2', Carabali J. ↓, Ade R. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 2.

LDU Quito is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Emelec has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, LDU Quito is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Copa Libertadores
20.08.26	LDU Quito - Mirassol	1:0 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.08.26	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.26	Mirassol - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.08.26	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	LDU Quito - Delfín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTLW
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.08.26	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Guayaquil City - Emelec	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Emelec - SD Aucas	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Emelec - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.04.26	Emelec - LDU Quito	1:0
Ecuadorian Copa
03.12.25	LDU Quito - Emelec	1:1 penalties
17.11.25	Emelec - LDU Quito	1:2
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.07.25	LDU Quito - Emelec	2:0
16.03.25	Emelec - LDU Quito	1:0
03.11.24	Emelec - LDU Quito	0:1
11.05.24	LDU Quito - Emelec	2:2

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