Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 27

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt (Guayaquil)

Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guayaquil City		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.20	2.10	Watch
	3.10	3.10	2.10
	3.50	3.15	2.12	Watch
	3.55	3.20	2.21
	3.56	3.15	2.15	Watch
	3.50	3.10	2.17
	3.59	3.21	2.09	Watch
	3.20	3.10	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (4)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	2.14 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
27.1%

Draw
29.5%

LDU Quito
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

28.5%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

28.2%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Guayaquil City - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Napa G. (G) 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 16. Ordonez J. 14. Arroyo D. 20. Laurino S. 80. Gonzalez P. 23. Bolanos M. (C) 19. Naula A. 11. Mero E.	22. Dominguez A. (C) 57. Weigandt M. 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 3. Mina R. 44. Segovia L. 23. Quinonez Y. 26. Zambrano I. 8. Pretell J. 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 77. Velasco K. 16. Deyverson
Substitutes
51. Cabezas E. 33. Caicedo R. 7. Caicedo S. 21. Dorregaray D. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 70. Mancilla P. 9. Palma M. 12. Perea R. (G) 30. Pinos J. (G) 50. Rivadeneira F. 15. Sambonino K. 28. Vivar J.	4. Ade R. 10. Alvarado A. 67. Carabali J. 20. Cornejo F. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 11. Estrada M. 99. Luna Tobar C. 27. Mina R. 25. Ortiz P. 31. Rodriguez J. 1. Valle G. (G) 15. Villamil G.
Coaches
Gavilanez P.	Alvarez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Estrada M. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Quinonez Y. ⚽, Zambrano I. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Bolanos M. ⚽, Naula A. (A),
45+6', Bolanos M. 🟨,
45+8', Weigandt M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Velasco K. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
46', Naula A. ↓, Ladines Calvache E. P. ↑,
59', Laurino S. ↓, Mancilla P. ↑,
62', Mina R. ↓, Ade R. ↑,
62', Weigandt M. ↓, Cuero Mercado J. W. ↑,
62', Gonzalez Baquero S. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
69', Zambrano I. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
78', Arroyo D. ↓, Sambonino K. ↑,
78', Gonzalez P. ↓, Caicedo S. ↑,
78', Mero E. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Dorregaray D. ⚽, Bolanos M. (A),
90+6', Sambonino K. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 0.

Guayaquil City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

LDU Quito is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

LDU Quito is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:38. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Last Results with these Odds

Guayaquil City - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 23.36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

LDU Quito - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.16%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Guayaquil City	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Guayaquil City - Libertad Loja	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Guayaquil City - Emelec	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Macará - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTTLT
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Copa
26.08.26	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.08.26	LDU Quito - Emelec	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.26	LDU Quito - Mirassol	1:0 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.08.26	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.26	Mirassol - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.05.26	LDU Quito - Guayaquil City	1:0
04.09.23	LDU Quito - Guayaquil City	2:0
09.04.23	Guayaquil City - LDU Quito	1:2
15.10.22	LDU Quito - Guayaquil City	2:0
21.05.22	Guayaquil City - LDU Quito	2:2
02.10.21	LDU Quito - Guayaquil City	3:1
17.04.21	Guayaquil City - LDU Quito	2:2

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