Match Info

Date: 15 December 2020, Tuesday


	Universidad Católica		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.5
	2.63	3.25	2.43	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.42
	2.77	3.47	2.53
	2.75	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.73	3.5	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.34)	3.36 ↓ (3.46)	2.47 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
34.5%

Draw
27.7%

Vélez Sársfield
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.8%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

19.4%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica's form might have worsened.

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Universidad Católica - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vélez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.12.20	Universidad Católica - Delfín	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.12.20	Vélez Sársfield - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.12.20	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Universidad Católica - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.12.20	Universidad Católica - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLWL
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.12.20	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.12.20	Vélez Sársfield - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.12.20	Patronato Parana - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
01.12.20	Deportivo Cali - Vélez Sársfield	1:5 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.11.20	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
08.12.20	Vélez Sársfield - Universidad Católica	1:2

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