Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 22

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Cordova M. (Ecu)


	Universidad Católica del Ecuador		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	9	Watch
	1.3	5	9	Watch
	1.33	5.14	9.39
	1.36	4.2	8
	1.33	4.95	8.4	Watch
	1.34	4.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.48)	4.72 ↑ (4.02)	8.8 ↑ (6.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
69.8%

Draw
19.6%

Gualaceo
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

23.1%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

22.4%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica del Ecuador's performance.

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Gualaceo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Romo R. (G) 16. Gustavino L. 15. Guerra F. 37. Grillo F. 20. Castillo Saa J. L. 5. Ona C. 4. Minda K. 30. Diaz I. 11. Vivar J. 27. Escobar J. 13. Angulo Grueso B. A.	34. Eras Quilambaqui T. A. (G) 3. Ontaneda J. 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 18. Gongora J. 5. Verges J. 21. Morocho R. 10. Preciado J. 19. Nunez M. 25. Ndong O. 62. Torres B. 45. Medina J.
Substitutes
29. Anangono G. 8. Clavijo D. 9. Colman C. 1. Cuero D. (G) 28. Diaz M. 18. Loor L. 23. Oneto T. 21. Ordonez A. 7. Rodriguez A. 25. Yepez J. 26. Zamora S.	11. Carrion J. 26. Enriquez D. 27. Hinostroza W. (G) 77. Minda T. 16. Ovando D. 7. Patta Quintero H. L. 12. Rodriguez Y. 9. Villalba D.
Coaches
Oca I.	Vanegas L.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 16).

Universidad Católica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gualaceo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Universidad Católica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Universidad Católica is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.09.23	Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1 ✺
17.08.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas	2:2 ✺
11.08.23	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWTT
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.09.23	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Técnico Universitario - Gualaceo	4:0 ✺
27.08.23	Gualaceo - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
16.08.23	Orense - Gualaceo	2:0 ✺
11.08.23	Gualaceo - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.04.23	Gualaceo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0
30.09.22	Gualaceo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1
08.05.22	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Gualaceo	3:1

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