Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 18

Date: 16 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)


	Orense		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	6	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.65	3.65	5
	1.63	3.86	5.71
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.62	3.85	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.03)	3.69 ↑ (3.42)	5.48 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orense
57.8%

Draw
25.2%

Gualaceo
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orense's performance.

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gualaceo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Orense - Gualaceo Predictions

Users Predictions: Orense will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Silva R. (G) 3. Quinonez Mendoza M. S. 24. Achilier G. 55. Quinonez O. 31. Mina G. 50. Vasquez S. 14. Pluas E. 10. Burbano R. 7. Carabali J. 51. Coronel D. 99. Martinez C.	27. Hinostroza W. (G) 3. Ontaneda J. 25. Ndong O. 20. Quinonez H. 33. Mercado H. 18. Gongora J. 7. Patta Quintero H. L. 5. Verges J. 8. Flores F. 10. Preciado J. 99. Angulo V.
Substitutes
21. Andrade J. 15. Assis S. 8. Calderon R. 61. Estrada J. 6. Queiroz F. 52. Quinonez B. 19. Rivas R. 11. Solano C. 16. Uriarte M. 28. Usca L. (G) 54. Zambrano Pesantez E. S.	11. Carrion J. 26. Enriquez D. 34. Eras Quilambaqui T. A. (G) 45. Medina J. 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 21. Morocho R. 19. Nunez M. 9. Villalba D.
Coaches
Leon J.	Vanegas L.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orense won 2.

Gualaceo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Orense is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Orense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Orense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.08.23	Emelec - Orense	0:0 ✺
05.08.23	Orense - Delfín	0:0 ✺
23.06.23	SD Aucas - Orense	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Orense - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
03.06.23	Mushuc Runa - Orense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLLL
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.08.23	Gualaceo - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Gualaceo	2:0 ✺
17.06.23	Gualaceo - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
12.06.23	Emelec - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
04.06.23	Gualaceo - El Nacional	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.03.23	Gualaceo - Orense	2:1
10.09.22	Orense - Gualaceo	4:1
23.04.22	Gualaceo - Orense	2:1
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.09.19	Gualaceo - Orense	1:0
07.09.19	Orense - Gualaceo	3:1
13.07.19	Gualaceo - Orense	1:0

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