Match Info

Copa Ecuador - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Jorge Andrade (Azogues) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:30	DSports 4
South America	—	DGO Latin America


	Gualaceo		Mushuc Runa

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.05	2.02
	3.66	3.25	1.94
	3.10	3.23	2.26	Watch
	3.6	2.88	2.05
	3.74	2.94	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.15)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	2.06 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
25.8%

Draw
29.8%

Mushuc Runa
44.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.1%

27.7%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

24.7%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gualaceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mushuc Runa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Gualaceo - Mushuc Runa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gualaceo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Allyson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Gualaceo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mushuc Runa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mushuc Runa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gualaceo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Mushuc Runa - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.05.26	Gualaceo - Deportivo Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Gualaceo - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Gualaceo - El Nacional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTTW
- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.05.26	Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Mushuc Runa - Guayaquil City	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Leones del Norte - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
11.05.26	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Delfín - Mushuc Runa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.08.23	Gualaceo - Mushuc Runa	0:0
05.03.23	Mushuc Runa - Gualaceo	2:1
28.08.22	Mushuc Runa - Gualaceo	2:0
15.04.22	Gualaceo - Mushuc Runa	3:2

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