Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
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Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Universidad Católica del Ecuador		Juventud de Las Piedras

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	6	Watch
	1.46	4.45	5.9
	1.49	4.59	6.1
	1.47	4.64	5.69
	1.5	4.2	5.5
	1.58	4.46	5.49	Watch
	1.5	4.5	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)	4.42 ↑ (3.61)	5.86 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
62.7%

Draw
21.2%

Juventud de Las Piedras
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

26%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica del Ecuador's performance.

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Romo R. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 32. Alonso M. 13. Rose E. 5. Cacciabue J. 8. Clavijo E. (C) 30. Mejia E. 28. Diaz M. 7. Fajardo J.	1. Sosa S. (C) 24. Barrandeguy F. 5. Morosini D. 2. Pernicone P. 23. Mas E. 11. Lago P. 22. Chagas R. 14. Roldan L. 20. Sanchez R. 10. Larregui B. 7. Alaniz A.
Substitutes
27. Benalcazar C. 12. Lara J. (G) 37. Medina C. 15. Moreno L. 24. Nazareno D. 18. Palacios B. 6. Palacios D. 23. Rodriguez A. 19. Sevillano M. 17. Troya R. 44. Valencia E. 26. Yanez Zambrano S.	27. Boselli J. 4. Caceres M. 15. Cruz A. 30. Gomez G. 90. Guerrero S. 8. Izaguirre M. 80. Mimbacas F. 25. Mujica I. 37. Peralta R. 16. Rabino R. 28. Risso F. 12. Rossi N. (G)
Coaches
Martinez D.	Mendez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Fajardo J. ⚽, Rose E. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽, Barrandeguy F. (A),
27', Mejia E. 🟨,
41', Mas E. 🟨,
45', Fajardo J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Barrandeguy F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Rose E. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
46', Canga L. 🟨,
49', 1 - 3, Lago P. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Alonso M. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
62', Clavijo E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
63', Sanchez R. ↓, Peralta R. ↑,
64', 2 - 3, Jhon Chancellor ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
73', 3 - 3, Fajardo J. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
77', Alaniz A. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
78', Larregui B. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
79', Fajardo J. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
80', Diaz M. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
84', Roldan L. 🟨,
85', Lago P. ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
85', Chagas R. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
90', Yanez Zambrano S. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 4, Pernicone P. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.

In recent matches, Uni Católica has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Uni Católica has had a series of away games.

In this match, Uni Católica is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

U. Catolica: 0.99%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Copa Libertadores
05.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Sporting Cristal - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.12.25	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
18.12.25	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.12.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWL
- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
18.01.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.11.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
05.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1

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