Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Universidad Católica		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	1.13	8.5	19	Watch
	1.13	8.5	19
	1.11	7.5	26	Watch
	1.12	9.19	24
	1.12	8.61	20
	1.08	8	19
	1.11	8.7	22	Watch
	1.14	7	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.21)	8.25 ↑ (5.22)	20.63 ↑ (15.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
84.1%

Draw
11.4%

Alianza Valledupar
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.2%

17.7%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica's performance.

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Universidad Católica - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Romo R. (G) 37. Grillo F. 4. Minda K. 15. Vallecilla G. 18. Loor L. 10. Martinez F. (C) 21. Nieto L. 9. Fajardo J. 8. Clavijo E. 7. Rodriguez A. 30. Diaz I.	30. Graziani P. (G) 2. Navarro E. 3. Figueroa J. 5. Franco P. (C) 16. Saldana L. 4. Simarra A. 23. Meza Mercado E. W. 25. Colpa Bolano R. R. 27. Batalla E. 24. Munoz J. 11. Renteria A.
Substitutes
29. Anangono G. 20. Castillo Saa J. L. 16. Cifuentes J. 28. Diaz M. 12. Lara J. (G) 52. Moreno J. 25. Mosquera I. 19. Pierre Chala J. 27. Quevedo K. 3. Quinonez J. 55. Troya R. 11. Vivar J.	15. Blanco Betancur C. 19. Blanco R. 7. Castillo J. 26. Gil M. 21. Manjarres R. 1. Mosquera C. (G) 6. Orozco S. 22. Ospina Londono L. A.
Coaches
Celico J.	Bodhert H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Franco P. 🟨,
13', Renteria A. 🟨,
30', Simarra A. 🟥,
44', Nieto L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Munoz J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
46', Clavijo E. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
53', Saldana L. 🟨,
56', Navarro E. ↓, Manjarres R. ↑,
67', Nieto L. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
67', Loor L. ↓, Quevedo K. ↑,
70', Cifuentes J. 🟨,
74', Renteria A. ↓, Orozco S. ↑,
74', Franco P. ↓, Ospina Londono L. A. ↑,
80', Graziani P. 🟨,
82', Meza Mercado E. W. ↓, Blanco Betancur C. ↑,
86', Grillo F. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
90+3', Martinez F. 🟨,
90+3', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
90+4', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
90+6', Martinez F. 🟨,

Preview

Universidad Católica in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Alianza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad Católica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Universidad Católica is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
11.05.24	Universidad Católica - OHiggins	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.05.24	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	4:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
04.05.24	Unión Española - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Deportes Copiapó - Universidad Católica	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.24	Alianza Valledupar - Universidad Católica	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW
- Alianza Valledupar
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.24	Alianza Valledupar - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
28.04.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.24	Alianza Valledupar - Universidad Católica	1:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
20.04.24	Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
23.04.24	Alianza Valledupar - Universidad Católica	1:3

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