Match Info

Date: 3 May 2021, Monday


	Olmedo		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.6
	2	3.4	3.3
	2	3.6	3.05
	2	3.4	3.25
	2.06	3.68	3.47
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	2.04	3.62	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.25)	3.5 ↑ (3.36)	3.36 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olmedo
46.1%

Draw
26.4%

Guayaquil City
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.2%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

19.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olmedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olmedo's performance.

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olmedo than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olmedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Olmedo - Guayaquil City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Postponed due to Covid-19.

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).

Recent matches Olmedo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guayaquil City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olmedo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Olmedo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Olmedo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.04.21	SD Aucas - Olmedo	1:3 ✺
13.04.21	Olmedo - Deportivo Cuenca	2:2 ✺
08.04.21	Mushuc Runa - Olmedo	4:0 ✺
01.04.21	Olmedo - Emelec	2:3 ✺
19.03.21	Técnico Universitario - Olmedo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTLLT
- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.04.21	Guayaquil City - LDU Quito	2:2 ✺
13.04.21	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	4:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.21	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	0:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.04.21	Técnico Universitario - Guayaquil City	3:0 ✺
31.03.21	Guayaquil City - Orense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.10.20	Olmedo - Guayaquil City	1:2
16.02.20	Guayaquil City - Olmedo	4:1
10.08.19	Guayaquil City - Olmedo	3:0
16.03.19	Olmedo - Guayaquil City	1:1

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