The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Macará 63.9%
Draw 22.9%
Manta 13.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.1%
27.9%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
22.2%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Macará's performance.
Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-21.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Macará that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Deportivo Macará - Manta Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0, 1st Half - Manta (4.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Manta (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 21. Etchebarne S. (C) 26. Medranda M. 13. Ayala M. 16. Cazares J. 28. Campana A. I. 5. Estacio J. 30. Chamba T. 20. Viera M. 9. Posse F.
1. Chavez W. (C) 14. Mina J. 23. Medina A. 4. Nazareno J. 21. Ortiz M. 25. Monaga J. 10. Burbano R. 6. Jimenez J. 5. Ramirez B. 19. Alman J. 9. Blanco J.
Substitutes
50. Caicedo C. 23. Caicedo Nestor 12. Cuero D. (G) 11. Espinoza T. 22. Ferro L. 4. Jimenez J. 87. Klinger J. 14. Marrufo J. 27. Mohor J. 19. Ramos P. 15. Tello M.
17. Angulo J. 11. Asagidigbi F. 20. Chala J. 7. Chala W. 28. Ledesma A. 52. Rialpe J. 27. Troya J. 8. Valencia M. 12. Zambrano F. (G)
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.
Duarte R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Campana A. I. ⚽, Estacio J. (A),
27', Estacio J. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
43', 1 - 1, Alman J. ⚽, Burbano R. (A),
45+5', Mina J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Chamba T. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
46', Nazareno J. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
48', Caicedo C. 🟨,
54', Caicedo C. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Blanco J. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Posse F. (Penalty Awarded),
61', 2 - 2, Tello M. ⚽,
64', Mina J. ↓, Troya J. ↑,
64', Blanco J. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
67', Viera M. ↓, Klinger J. ↑,
72', Burbano R. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
73', Alman J. ↓, Chala W. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Etchebarne S. ⚽, Tello M. (A),
83', Etchebarne S. 🟨,
85', 3 - 3, Ledesma A. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Medranda M. ↓, Marrufo J. ↑,
86', Posse F. ↓, Caicedo Nestor ↑,
89', 4 - 3, Etchebarne S. ⚽, Tello M. (A),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Macará is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Macará won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
Usa
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Rodriguez R. (G) 
Espinoza J. 
Campana A. I. 
Jimenez J. 
Marrufo J. 
Asagidigbi F. 
Duarte R. 
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