The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente del Valle 68.2%
Draw 19.9%
Deportivo Macará 11.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.9%
19.1%
11%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.2%
18%
10.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 4. Espinoza J. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J. 15. Cortez G. 6. Alcivar J. (C) 56. Quintero E. 8. Ochoa Y. 11. Perello M. 16. Briones R. 99. Reasco D.
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 16. Cazares J. 28. Campana A. I. 5. Estacio J. 22. Ferro L. 87. Klinger J. 9. Posse F.
Substitutes
20. Gomez A. 9. Gonzalez C. 19. Loor L. 31. Pata E. 70. Peralta M. (G) 28. Quintana H. 57. Quintero H. 17. Rodriguez A. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 5. Schunke R. 10. Sornoza J. 52. Vasquez Y.
23. Caicedo Nestor 30. Chamba T. 52. Coello B. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 4. Jimenez J. 26. Medranda M. 27. Mohor J. 19. Ramos P. 15. Tello M. 20. Viera M.
Coaches
Papa J.
Sanguinetti G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Reasco D. ⚽, Briones R. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Reasco D. ⚽, Briones R. (A),
15', 3 - 0, Briones R. ⚽, Perello M. (A),
32', Etchebarne S. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
38', Sornoza J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ayala M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
46', Ferro L. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
66', Posse F. 🟨,
70', Quintero E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
70', Klinger J. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
70', Briones R. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
70', Alcivar J. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
75', Reasco D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Velasco A. (Own goal),
77', Velasco A. ↓, Schunke R. ↑,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
Ind del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Macará is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 4.
Ind del Valle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Macará's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Ind del Valle is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.3:1).
Chile
Ecuador
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Quintana A. (G) 
Espinoza J. 
Viacava J. 
Perello M. 
Marrufo J. (C) 
Gonzalez C. 
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