The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 72.9%
Draw 17.7%
Manta 9.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.9%
20.9%
12.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.8%
19.7%
11.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica del Ecuador's performance.
Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Manta Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Uni Católica (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Lara J. (G) 24. Nazareno D. 33. Canga L. 37. Medina C. 30. Mejia E. 8. Clavijo E. 10. Martinez F. (C) 9. Londono A. 28. Diaz M. 32. Alonso M. 7. Fajardo J.
1. Chavez W. (C) 23. Medina A. 24. Moscarelli O. 21. Ortiz M. 31. Mina G. 55. Verges J. 70. Nazareno J. 6. Jimenez J. 27. Troya J. 17. Angulo J. 19. Alman J.
Substitutes
29. Anangono G. 5. Cacciabue J. 1. Cueva L. (G) 11. Evans J. 4. Jhon Chancellor 14. Mina J. 15. Moreno L. 18. Palacios B. 23. Rodriguez A. 19. Sevillano M. 44. Valencia E. 26. Yanez S.
11. Asagidigbi F. 9. Blanco J. 20. Chala J. 7. Chala W. 14. Mina J. 4. Nazareno J. 52. Rialpe J. 8. Valencia M. 12. Zambrano F. (G)
Coaches
Martinez D.
Duarte R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Alonso M. ⚽, Clavijo E. (A),
24', Mina G. 🟨,
29', Medina C. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Alman J. ⚽, Troya J. (A),
44', 2 - 1, Fajardo J. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 1, Nazareno D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Jimenez J. 🟨,
54', 4 - 1, Alonso M. ⚽, Fajardo J. (A),
59', 5 - 1, Diaz M. ⚽, Alonso M. (A),
60', Verges J. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
60', Mina G. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
60', Jimenez J. ↓, Chala W. ↑,
63', Martinez F. ↓, Cacciabue J. ↑,
63', Alonso M. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
63', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
72', Alman J. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
72', Angulo J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
77', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
77', Londono A. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
In recent matches, Uni Católica has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Manta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Uni Católica has had a series of away games.
In this match, Uni Católica is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
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Ecuador
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Lara J. (G) 
Martinez F. (C) 
Londono A. 
Alonso M. 
Jimenez J. 
Evans J. 
Jhon Chancellor 
Duarte R. 
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