Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 25

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Manta		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3	Watch
	2.50	2.95	2.60
	2.52	2.82	2.85	Watch
	2.6	3.04	3.11
	2.66	2.96	2.86	Watch
	2.55	2.8	3.15
	2.46	3.02	3.02	Watch
	2.44	2.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.72)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	2.94 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manta
36.8%

Draw
31.6%

Leones del Norte
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

32%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

32.5%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Manta - Leones del Norte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chavez W. (C) 23. Medina A. 24. Moscarelli O. 21. Ortiz M. 31. Mina G. 27. Troya J. 70. Nazareno J. 5. Ramirez B. 10. Burbano R. 9. Blanco J. 19. Alman J.	45. Nazareno L. (G) 4. Arroyo R. 23. Monserrat N. 2. Moran J. 34. Portocarrero S. 5. Coppo T. 19. Pepinos E. 6. Griffa E. 29. Madero P. 70. Pazmino D. 40. Anangono J. (C)
Substitutes
17. Angulo J. 11. Asagidigbi F. 20. Chala J. 7. Chala W. 6. Jimenez J. 14. Mina J. 4. Nazareno J. 99. Pico E. (G) 52. Rialpe J. 8. Valencia M. 55. Verges J. 12. Zambrano F. (G)	17. Amilivia T. 15. Araujo I. 22. Arroyo J. (G) 55. Borja R. 13. Cabeza J. 50. Caicedo M. 16. De La Cruz M. 14. Folleco A. 25. Kreiman B. 99. Solano C. 3. Vargas F. 8. Velez C.
Coaches
Duarte R.	Cordoba M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Griffa E. ⚽, Portocarrero S. (A),
20', Portocarrero S. 🟨,
40', Portocarrero S. ↓, De La Cruz M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Blanco J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
58', Troya J. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
63', Mina G. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
68', Pepinos E. ↓, Kreiman B. ↑,
68', Pazmino D. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
74', Anangono J. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Ramirez B. 🟨,
79', Moscarelli O. ↓, Chala W. ↑,
79', Burbano R. ↓, Asagidigbi F. ↑,
82', Nazareno L. 🟨,
89', Anangono J. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
89', Griffa E. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Borja R. ⚽, Solano C. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

Manta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leones del Norte has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.08.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Manta	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Manta - Mushuc Runa	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Manta	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.07.26	Técnico Universitario - Manta	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Manta - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLLLT
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.08.26	SD Aucas - Leones del Norte	3:0 ✺
02.08.26	Leones del Norte - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
30.07.26	LDU Quito - Leones del Norte	6:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Delfín - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
23.07.26	Leones del Norte - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.04.26	Leones del Norte - Manta	3:0
Ecuadorian Serie B
26.09.24	Leones del Norte - Manta	1:1
06.08.24	Manta - Leones del Norte	2:1
04.06.24	Manta - Leones del Norte	3:1
10.04.24	Leones del Norte - Manta	3:0

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