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Current Win Probability
Universidad César Vallejo 46.3%
Draw 28.3%
Alianza Atlético 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
27.9%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
30.1%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad César Vallejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.9%
5.3%
15.8%
Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Atlético Predictions
Users Predictions:
Universidad César Vallejo will win
(15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%). Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Carvallo J. (G) 32. Madrid J. 19. Ascues C. 5. Deneumostier A. 61. Bolivar J. 88. Ballon J. 8. Ysique F. 10. Velez J. (C) 7. Barreto O. 23. Da Silva P. 17. Mena Y.
1. Melian D. (G) 3. Vasquez C. 4. Villegas J. C. 13. Benincasa H. 15. Mendieta Rojas J. A. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 8. Illanes F. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 16. Fernandez S. 17. Arakaki H. 9. Fernandez A.
Substitutes
4. Amasifuen N. 3. Ganoza M. 1. Grados C. (G) 15. Grandez G. 20. Noronha O. 6. Perea G. 38. Perez D. 16. Valiente A.
14. Alburqueque L. 7. Castro R. 19. De la Cruz L. 24. Espinoza Torres R. 10. Flores C. 22. Larios Saavedra G. A. 21. Milesi A. 30. Perleche A. 95. Prieto D. (G)
Coaches
Hernandez L.
Ameli G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Fernandez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arakaki H. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
46', Barreto O. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
52', Madrid J. 🟨,
56', Da Silva P. 🟨,
57', Fernandez A. ↓, Espinoza Torres R. ↑,
57', Mendieta Rojas J. A. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
65', Da Silva P. ↓, Grandez G. ↑,
77', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
78', Bolivar J. ↓, Valiente A. ↑,
78', Velez J. ↓, Amasifuen N. ↑,
79', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
85', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
85', Ysique F. 🟨,
90+1', Vasquez C. ↓, Perleche A. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 2.
César Vallejo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Alianza Atlético is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
César Vallejo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
César Vallejo will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 15 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-21.
Including matches at home between the teams César Vallejo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.
Peru
World
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Carvallo J. (G) 
Velez J. (C) 
Barreto O. 
Da Silva P. 
Melian D. (G) 
Villegas J. C. 
Fernandez A. 
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