Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportivo Garcilaso		Alianza Atlético

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.68	3.45	5.25	Watch
	1.69	3.49	5.19
	1.72	3.4	5.31	Watch
	1.7	3.25	5
	1.69	3.45	5.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	5.12 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Garcilaso
54.7%

Draw
27.3%

Alianza Atlético
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

27.1%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

26.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atlético Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Garcilaso will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 19. Gomez A. 2. Salazar A. 23. Moreno X. 14. Torrejon C. 10. Sandoval K. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 8. Gonzalez A. 30. Da Silva B. 24. Olivares C.	95. Prieto D. (G) 25. Guzman W. 4. Villegas J. C. 6. Lujan J. 24. Gordillo A. 15. Lupu H. (C) 16. Fernandez S. 20. Perez J. 8. Flores F. 7. Coronel F. 17. Penilla C.
Substitutes
11. Arancibia F. 27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) 6. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 29. Graneros A. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 7. Sinisterra J. 33. Villacorta S.	22. del Castillo J. 10. Diaz G. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 19. Mendieta J. 23. Munoz A. 21. Perleche E. 9. Robaldo V. 2. Suarez R. 77. Valladolid C.
Coaches
Dominguez S.	Urciuoli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
24', Gordillo A. ↓, Perleche E. ↑,
34', Canales E. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Olivares C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Fernandez S. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
47', Flores F. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
62', Canales E. ↓, Villacorta S. ↑,
62', Penilla C. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Munoz A. ⚽, Lupu H. (A),
80', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Ascues A. ⚽,
83', Sandoval K. ↓, Arancibia F. ↑,
84', Lupu H. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
85', Da Silva B. 🟨,
90+1', Da Silva B. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
90+2', Olivares C. ↓, Graneros A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Benincasa H. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Arancibia F. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Larios Saavedra G. A. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	11	7	1	3	18:7	11	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
04.05.26	Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Garcilaso	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sport Huancayo - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Boys	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLLW
- Alianza Atlético
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.26	Alianza Atlético - América de Cali	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.05.26	Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo	4:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.26	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:0
Peruvian Liga 1
05.10.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atlético	2:4
16.05.25	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0
10.08.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atlético	0:1
29.02.24	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:0
01.10.23	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:0
20.05.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atlético	3:2

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