Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio San Martin de Porres (Lima)


	Universidad San Martín		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.62
	4.8	3.75	1.64
	4.5	3.55	1.68
	4.61	4.04	1.71
	4.75	3.5	1.65	Watch
	4.8	3.82	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (4.24)	3.72 ↑ (3.51)	1.67 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad San Martín
19.6%

Draw
24.9%

Universitario de Deportes
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

26.9%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

28.4%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Universidad San Martín - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Uni San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 1.

Universidad San Martín is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Universitario de Deportes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Universitario de Deportes is a favorite.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 3 matches, drawn 12 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 31-51.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad San Martín won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 1
11.07.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad San Martín	4:0 ✺
02.07.22	Cienciano - Universidad San Martín	5:3 ✺
27.06.22	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
18.06.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Universidad San Martín	2:0 ✺
28.05.22	Universidad San Martín - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLW
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
10.07.22	Universitario de Deportes - Cantolao	1:1 ✺
03.07.22	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
26.06.22	Sport Huancayo - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
29.05.22	FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
21.05.22	Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
11.02.22	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad San Martín	3:0
13.09.21	Universidad San Martín - Universitario de Deportes	0:2
15.04.21	Universidad San Martín - Universitario de Deportes	0:1
14.11.20	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad San Martín	2:3
27.08.20	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad San Martín	2:0
16.08.19	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad San Martín	0:0
01.03.19	Universidad San Martín - Universitario de Deportes	2:3

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