Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 13

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)


	Universidad de Concepción		Deportes Antofagasta

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.12	3.1	3.35
	2.13	3.03	3.46
				Watch
	2.17	3.2	3.23	Watch
	1.79	3.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.72)	3.19 ↓ (3.5)	3.53 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Concepción
44.8%

Draw
29%

Deportes Antofagasta
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

24.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad de Concepción's form might have worsened.

Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Antofagasta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Concepción, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Antofagasta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Antofagasta will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Antofagasta (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Antofagasta (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Campestrini C. (G) 10. Fuentealba J. 11. Gonzalez I. 28. Herrera I. (C) 3. Meza I. 7. Molina S. 16. Ogaz B. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 30. Retamal D. 8. Romo J. 18. Ubal B.	12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 33. Abuhadba Z. 2. Berardo N. 31. Contreras M. 6. Diaz C. 32. Figueroa T. 26. Hinojosa S. 3. Maluenda M. 17. Nieto B. 18. Salas C. 10. Souper A.
Substitutes
21. Benitez F. 6. Cordero R. 14. Medina C. 20. Molina L. 19. Olivares Alvarez R. I. 29. Sabando D. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)	24. Alvarez F. 5. Astorga R. 15. Baez F. 11. Bandez J. D. 7. Bravo C. 21. Manzano F. 22. Marin C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Salas C. ⚽,
59', Salas C. 🟨,
63', Molina S. ↓, Olivares Alvarez R. I. ↑,
63', Herrera I. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
68', Salas C. ↓, Bandez J. D. ↑,
72', Fuentealba J. ↓, Sabando D. ↑,
78', Hinojosa S. ↓, Manzano F. ↑,
84', Gonzalez I. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
84', Ogaz B. ↓, Cordero R. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 1.

Uni de Concepción is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Antofagasta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Antofagasta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Uni de Concepción might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.06.25	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Deportes Temuco - Universidad de Concepción	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Curicó Unido - Universidad de Concepción	1:2 ✺
25.05.25	Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Universidad de Concepción - Santiago Morning	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWWW
- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Cup
30.06.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers	2:3 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.06.25	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Antofagasta	3:0 ✺
15.06.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Magallanes	5:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
08.06.25	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Antofagasta	3:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.06.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Rangers de Talca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.07.24	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	2:2
10.03.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad de Concepción	3:0
10.09.23	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad de Concepción	3:1
11.05.23	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	1:3
Chilean Primera Division
15.11.20	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	2:0
21.02.20	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad de Concepción	1:1
25.03.19	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	1:1

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