Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 4 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Lima)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Universitario de Deportes		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.1
	2.08	3.2	3.7
	1.82	3.56	4.6
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.88	3.48	4.15	Watch
	1.85	3.45	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.17)	3.41 ↑ (3.15)	4.08 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
49.6%

Draw
27.4%

Independiente Santa Fe
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Deportes's performance.

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Deportes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Universitario de Deportes - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Universitario de Deportes in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Santa Fe is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Universitario de Deportes will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
29.04.23	Sport Boys - Universitario de Deportes	0:3 ✺
24.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Goiás	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
16.04.23	Deportivo Municipal - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWW
- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
29.04.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima	2:0 ✺
26.04.23	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
22.04.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.04.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
15.04.23	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWT

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