The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Sucre 33.5%
Draw 27.4%
Nacional Potosí 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
26.1%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
26.6%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Sucre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Sucre's form might have worsened.
Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Potosí's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Sucre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
40%
26.7%
Universitario de Sucre - Nacional Potosí Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Universitario will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Universitario won 2.
Universitario is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nacional Potosí is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 26 head-to-head matches Universitario won 12 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 40-41.
Including matches at home between the teams Universitario won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 31-26.
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