Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 19

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	KuPS Kuopio		TPS

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	4.75	Watch
	1.55	4.20	5.25
	1.58	3.95	5.4	Watch
	1.62	4.37	5.44
	1.57	4.35	5.34	Watch
	1.58	4.3	5.35
	1.6	4.13	4.91	Watch
	1.54	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.47)	4.18 ↓ (4.66)	5.17 ↓ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
59.5%

Draw
22.4%

TPS
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

20.3%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

19.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KuPS Kuopio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

KuPS Kuopio - TPS Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Riihimaki H. (C) 6. Savolainen S. 33. Hamalainen T. 23. Lotjonen A. 3. Heiskanen S. 17. Heinonen A. 13. Kujasalo N. 22. Touray S. 8. Pennanen P. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 20. Parzyszek P.	1. Henriksson E. (G) 2. Haggstrom O. 15. Azongnitode C. 14. Hradecky M. 24. Talo N. 22. Zaal T. 26. Ikonen L. 11. Vauhkonen E. 29. Muzaci A. (C) 41. Anini S. 99. Visser K.
Substitutes
4. Adams K. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 30. Jorginho 16. Jyry T. 28. Magassa B. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 29. Puukko A. 37. Silen K. (G)	12. Asula H. (G) 9. Ivanovic L. 6. Juvanteny P. 20. Kauppila M. 10. Konkkola M. 4. Sairinen A. 17. Sihvonen A. 28. Vakiparta T. 44. Veinbergs N.
Coaches
Nuutinen M.	Pinol I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ⚽,
44', Anini S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Touray S. ↓, Jyry T. ↑,
57', Anini S. ↓, Konkkola M. ↑,
57', Talo N. ↓, Kauppila M. ↑,
57', Ikonen L. ↓, Juvanteny P. ↑,
59', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↑,
59', Heinonen A. ↓, Gasc V. R. ↑,
72', Kujasalo N. ↓, Jorginho ↑,
76', Azongnitode C. 🟨,
83', Lotjonen A. ↓, Magassa B. ↑,
85', Konkkola M. 🟨,
86', Haggstrom O. ↓, Veinbergs N. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Veinbergs N. ⚽, Juvanteny P. (A),
90+4', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Sairinen A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

TPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, KuPS is the clear favorite.

There will not play in KuPS: Armah B. (Yellow Cards) Pasanen S. (Knee Injury) Voutilainen J. (Surgery)

There will not play in TPS: Ivanovic L. (Inactive) Karkulowski T. (Inactive) Turkki E. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41:24	17	48

Last Results with these Odds

KuPS Kuopio - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 64.27%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.08.26	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	KuPS Kuopio - Sabah	0:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.07.26	KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Sabah - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWL
- TPS
Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.08.26	TPS - IFK Mariehamn	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	HJK - TPS	1:0 ✺
20.07.26	TPS - Ilves	1:3 ✺
11.07.26	TPS - Oulu	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	SJK - TPS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.06.26	TPS - KuPS Kuopio	1:2
04.11.20	TPS - KuPS Kuopio	3:2
29.08.20	KuPS Kuopio - TPS	3:1
21.10.18	KuPS Kuopio - TPS	2:1
05.08.18	KuPS Kuopio - TPS	3:2
01.06.18	TPS - KuPS Kuopio	0:0
05.10.14	KuPS Kuopio - TPS	1:0

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