Match Info

Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia (Tarapoto)


	Unión Comercio		San Marcos

	1	X	2
	1.11	7.49	12.08
	1.09	8.1	14.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.22)	7.8 ↑ (5.35)	13.29 ↑ (8.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Comercio
81.7%

Draw
11.5%

San Marcos
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

16.6%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.

San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Unión Comercio - San Marcos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cordova M. (G)
9. Arrieta J.
28. Jimenez O.
8. Marcos N.
3. Mena J.
4. Montoya C.
20. Morales G.
6. Ojeda A.
29. Perlaza V. (C)
26. Reategui M.
27. Villanueva C.
Substitutes
18. Ayala J.
21. Cachique H. (G)
33. Cuero J.
13. Gonzalez N.
30. Isuiza J.
15. Marines D.
16. Mendoza Cornejo F. G.
24. Ordonez N.
14. Vargas C.

Key Events of the Match

(5 - 0)

Preview

Unión Comercio is Qualified for Liga 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Unión Comercio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

San Marcos is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Unión Comercio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Unión Comercio is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión Comercio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 2
13.09.25	ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Unión Comercio - Santos	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Comerciantes Belén - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	San Marcos - Unión Comercio	1:4 ✺
10.08.25	Unión Comercio - ADA Jaén	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW
- FC San Marcos
Peruvian Liga 2
14.09.25	San Marcos - Santos	1:3 ✺
07.09.25	Comerciantes Belén - San Marcos	6:0 ✺
24.08.25	San Marcos - ADA Jaén	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	San Marcos - Unión Comercio	1:4 ✺
09.08.25	Santos - San Marcos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
16.08.25	San Marcos - Unión Comercio	1:4

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