Match Info

Date: 26 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán (La Calera)


	Unión La Calera		Santiago Morning

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.42	4.1	6.25
	1.45	3.85	5.6
	1.4	4.1	6.4
	1.47	4.25	6.73
	1.42	3.9	7.5
	1.46	4.4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (2.42)	4.09 ↑ (3)	6.54 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
63.6%

Draw
22.4%

Santiago Morning
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión La Calera's performance.

Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santiago Morning might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión La Calera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santiago Morning could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Unión La Calera - Santiago Morning Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Santiago Morning will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión La Calera: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Recent matches Unión La Calera is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santiago Morning is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Unión La Calera is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Unión La Calera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión La Calera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Cup
18.06.22	Santiago Morning - Unión La Calera	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.05.22	Unión Española - Unión La Calera	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.05.22	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.05.22	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.05.22	Santos - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWTL
- Santiago Morning
Chilean Cup
18.06.22	Santiago Morning - Unión La Calera	1:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
04.06.22	Barnechea - Santiago Morning	1:1 ✺
28.05.22	Santiago Morning - Cobreloa	0:1 ✺
23.05.22	Universidad de Concepción - Santiago Morning	5:1 ✺
16.05.22	Santiago Morning - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
18.06.22	Santiago Morning - Unión La Calera	1:2
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.08.17	Unión La Calera - Santiago Morning	0:1
28.04.17	Unión La Calera - Santiago Morning	0:1
15.08.16	Santiago Morning - Unión La Calera	2:1

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