Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Villa Concha (Piedecuesta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Santander		Envigado

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.1	1.98
	4.17	3.2	1.98
	4.24	3.3	1.88	Watch
	3.75	3	1.85
	4.33	3.18	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.13)	3.16 ↓ (3.36)	1.9 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
22.6%

Draw
29.1%

Envigado
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

27.6%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

26.8%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Real Santander - Envigado Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Real Santander will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Envigado will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Envigado: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mora J. (G) 19. Ahumada S. 21. Bustamante W. 13. Caicedo L. 11. Diaz M. 3. Duran C. 35. Montero Alarcon F. 2. Perez J. 24. Rangel L. 7. Rueda Juan 31. Tapia D.	88. Tovar A. (G) 19. Acuna S. 80. Aristizabal J. 23. Hernandez J. 33. Londono E. 21. Lopez E. 9. Marulanda M. 5. Norena S. 27. Quejada J. 16. Ramirez N. 4. Uribe N.
Substitutes
39. Almeida V. 27. Guillen Sanchez J. D. 16. Hernandez J. 12. Lazaro J. (G) 9. Rey S. 10. Rivera Mendoza F. I. 26. Roman B. 6. Ruiz Bravo D. F. 20. Salas H.	31. Berrio F. . Betancurt 20. Catano J. 7. Dawson D. 11. Hurtado W. 2. Palacios D. 32. Rey J. 26. Valencia Mosquera D. A. 12. Villa M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Uribe N. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Ramirez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ahumada S. ↓, Rey S. ↑,
46', Montero Alarcon F. ↓, Guillen Sanchez J. D. ↑,
57', Rangel L. ↓, Rivera Mendoza F. I. ↑,
57', Bustamante W. ↓, Salas H. ↑,
60', Hernandez J. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
60', Uribe N. ↓, Betancurt ↑,
65', Guillen Sanchez J. D. 🟨,
70', Rivera Mendoza F. I. 🟨,
77', Londono E. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
79', Acuna S. ↓, Hurtado W. ↑,
79', Ramirez N. ↓, Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Marulanda M. ⚽,
85', Diaz M. ↓, Ruiz Bravo D. F. ↑,
86', 🟨,
88', Ruiz Bravo D. F. 🟨,
89', 0 - 3, Dawson D. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Guillen Sanchez J. D. ⚽,
90+3', Rueda Juan 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Recent form of Real Santander has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Envigado is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Envigado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Envigado is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Envigado	11	2	6	3	12:11	1	12
13	Real Santander	11	2	6	3	13:18	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
26.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Real Santander - Tigres	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Orsomarso - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Real Santander - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:1 ✺
05.03.26	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL
- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera B
25.03.26	Envigado - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Envigado - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Leones - Envigado	0:3 ✺
05.03.26	Envigado - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Orsomarso - Envigado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWWW

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