The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión San Felipe 50%
Draw 27%
Deportes La Serena 23%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.8%
28.1%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
26.9%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión San Felipe's performance.
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes La Serena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-21.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión San Felipe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+21%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes La Serena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Unión San Felipe - Deportes La Serena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Garces P. (G) 6. Herrera H. 22. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 5. Leon A. 13. Meza I. (C) 35. Monteseirin F. 14. Quiroz F. 19. Salazar D. 41. Salinas F. 7. Sandoval M. 17. Zamorano A.
5. Alarcon L. 9. Altamirano L. 6. Diaz S. 4. Duran V. 21. Espinoza E. 10. Gallegos S. 17. Guerrero E. (C) 8. Molina S. 20. Sanhueza D. 1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. 29. Torres Gaete C. G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Duran V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gallegos S. ↓, Lobos C. ↑,
46', Espinoza E. ↓, Melendez R. ↑,
46', Torres Gaete C. G. ↓, Delgado A. ↑,
58', Monteseirin F. 🟨,
64', Delgado A. 🟨,
65', Zamorano A. ↓, Riveros B. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division).
Deportes La Serena is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Primera Division
Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión San Felipe won 0.
Recent matches Unión San Felipe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Deportes La Serena is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Unión San Felipe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Deportes La Serena will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Unión San Felipe won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:23 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Unión San Felipe won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:6 (average 1.7:0.7).
Chile
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Garces P. (G) 
Monteseirin F. 
Zamorano A. 
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