The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 41.1%
Draw 29.2%
Deportes La Serena 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
27.7%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
27.4%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes La Serena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Tapia B. (G) 20. Abalos A. 8. Barrios A. 21. Camarda M. 14. Guerra C. 6. Ledesma F. 3. Muller I. 26. Rencoret C. 5. Rivera J. 11. Rosales F. 10. Velazco F.
12. Cerda F. (G) 5. Alarcon L. 14. Chamorro F. 6. Diaz S. (C) 26. Dinamarca F. 3. Ferreyra N. 18. Gallegos S. 11. Henriquez A. 7. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 22. Ovando L. 4. Rojas J.
Substitutes
4. Caceres C. 19. Contreras A. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 24. Pereira D. 35. Plaza D. 17. Rojas K.
24. Diaz F. 9. Moreira E. 23. Pinto M. 21. Ramirez M. 8. Rivera M. 1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 15. Villarroel M. 2. Zanini A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Rojas J. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Abalos A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Rosales F. ↓, Plaza D. ↑,
68', Chamorro F. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
68', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
68', Abalos A. ↓, Melivilu Fuentes C. ↑,
68', Barrios A. ↓, Caceres C. ↑,
73', Caceres C. 🟨,
77', Alarcon L. ↓, Zanini A. ↑,
77', Gallegos S. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
77', Ovando L. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
80', Camarda M. ↓, Gauna N. A. ↑,
85', Dinamarca F. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', Moreira E. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 1.
San Marcos de Arica is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Deportes La Serena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
San Marcos de Arica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
San Marcos de Arica will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:21 (average 1.3:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams San Marcos de Arica won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).
Watch
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Tapia B. (G) 
Abalos A. 
Camarda M. 
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