Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Round 27

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports Go


	Deportes La Serena		Deportes Recoleta

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.75
	1.9	3.3	4
	1.85	3.25	3.8
	1.89	3.34	3.95
	1.9	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.59)	3.29 ↓ (3.6)	3.9 ↓ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
48.8%

Draw
27.8%

Deportes Recoleta
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

25.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

24.5%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes La Serena's form might have worsened.

Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportes La Serena - Deportes Recoleta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 4. Duran V. 3. Osorio R. 5. Alarcon L. 17. Guerrero E. 20. Sanhueza D. 6. Diaz S. 8. Molina S. 10. Gallegos S. 9. Altamirano L. 16. Figueroa J.	32. Saez I. (G) 11. Viveros D. 14. Lara I. 18. Cepeda C. 27. Servetti C. 8. Martin F. 17. Carvajal N. 9. Estigarribia G. 16. Riveros R. 19. Salinas Aguilar O. 23. Navarro C.
Substitutes
28. Delgado A. 21. Espinoza E. 36. Guajardo Barrera B. 12. Hartard E. (G) 7. Lobos C. 23. Melendez R. 29. Torres Gaete C. G.	20. Campos V. 13. Cornejo F. 29. Flores M. 21. Marin C. 15. Ponce C. 10. Ragusa F. 22. Vargas J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Marin C. 🟨,
31', Altamirano L. 🟨,
35', Lobos C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lobos C. ↓, Torres Gaete C. G. ↑,
51', Cepeda C. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Altamirano L. (Pen),
59', Fuenzalida I. ↓, Ponce C. ↑,
59', Marin C. ↓, Carvajal N. ↑,
71', Molina S. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
81', Navarro C. ↓, Campos V. ↑,
81', Martin F. ↓, Ragusa F. ↑,
87', Espinoza E. ↓, Melendez R. ↑,
90+4', Gallegos S. ↓, Guajardo Barrera B. ↑,
90+4', Altamirano L. ↓, Duran V. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.09.24	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTWW
- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.09.24	Deportes Recoleta - San Luis de Quillota	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Antofagasta	2:2 ✺
25.08.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Recoleta	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta	2:1 ✺
12.08.24	Deportes Recoleta - Universidad de Concepción	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.05.24	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes La Serena	0:0
18.06.23	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Recoleta	1:0
13.02.23	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes La Serena	0:1

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