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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 19.5%
Draw 24.7%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.8%
25.6%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.6%
25.4%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
0%
81.8%
Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Hiroshima (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 8 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fujita K. (G) 50. Uemura H. 5. Fitzgerald M. 35. Chiba K. 31. Horigome Y. 22. Arai T. 8. Miyamoto E. 46. Kasai K. 41. Hasegawa M. 30. Okumura J. 99. Ono Y.
1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 14. Tanaka S. 24. Higashi S. 9. Germain R. 39. Nakamura S. 17. Kinoshita K.
Substitutes
77. Funaki K. 42. Hashimoto K. 15. Hayakawa F. 19. Hoshi Y. 28. Shimamura T. 33. Takagi Y. 21. Tashiro R. (G) 18. Wakatsuki Y. 9. Yamura K.
13. Arai N. 98. Germain V. 51. Kato M. 32. Koshimichi S. 41. Maeda N. 10. Marcos Junior 35. Nakajima Y. 18. Suga D. 21. Tanaka Y. (G)
Coaches
Irie T.
Skibbe M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Higashi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, Kinoshita K. ⚽,
59', Arai T. ↓, Hoshi Y. ↑,
59', Kasai K. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
69', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
71', Tanaka S. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
71', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
72', Ono Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
72', Horigome Y. ↓, Funaki K. ↑,
78', Araki H. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
82', Chiba K. 🟨,
84', Okumura J. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
90+2', Germain R. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
90+2', Higashi S. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
90+7', Hashimoto K. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.
Niigata is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Hiroshima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.4:0.9).
China
Japan
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Fujita K. (G) 
Germain V. 
Marcos Junior 
Skibbe M. 
