The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 24.3%
Draw 27.5%
Kashima Antlers 48.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
28%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
28.1%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
4.3%
8.7%
87%
Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers Predictions
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashima Antlers will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Tashiro R. (G) 50. Uemura H. 5. Fitzgerald M. 77. Funaki K. 42. Hashimoto K. 55. Moraes 22. Arai T. 8. Shirai E. 14. Ohara M. 65. Boudah A. 41. Hasegawa M.
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 22. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 7. Ogawa R. 14. Higuchi Y. 13. Chinen K. 20. Funabashi Y. 18. Elber 11. Tagawa K. 40. Suzuki Y.
Substitutes
35. Chiba K. 15. Hayakawa F. 31. Horigome Y. 46. Kasai K. 30. Okumura J. 28. Shimamura T. 33. Takagi Y. 7. Taniguchi K. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)
77. Cavric A. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 9. Leo Ceara 27. Matsumura Y. 6. Misao K. 28. Mizoguchi S. 10. Shibasaki G. 17. Talles Brener 23. Tsukui K.
Coaches
Irie T.
Oniki T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Elber (A),
17', 1 - 1, Moraes ⚽,
45+5', Boudah A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Funabashi Y. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
50', Higuchi Y. 🟨,
52', Chinen K. 🟨,
66', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
66', Ohara M. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
69', Tagawa K. ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
70', Elber ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
84', Chinen K. ↓, Misao K. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Leo Ceara ⚽, Ogawa R. (A),
88', Nono K. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
89', Arai T. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kashima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Kashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kashima has had a series of home games.
Kashima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Fujiwara S.
(Yellow Cards)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:34. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.9:2.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Albirex Niigata - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 28.38%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Tashiro R. (G) 
Moraes 
Boudah A. 
Kim Tae-Hyeon 
Cavric A. 
