Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 34

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ursaria		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.33
	1.78	3.1	4.2
	1.87	3.25	4.2
	1.85	3.39	4.14
	1.83	3.24	4.4
	1.82	3.05	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.59)	3.17 ↓ (3.6)	4.28 ↓ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
50%

Draw
28.7%

Villanovense
21.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ursaria's form might have worsened.

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Ursaria - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Perez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ursaria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ursaria is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.04.24	Navalcarnero - Ursaria	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Ursaria - Numancia	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Illescas - Ursaria	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Ursaria - Atlético Paso	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Llerenense - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLWLW
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.04.24	Villanovense - UD San Fernando	3:3 ✺
20.04.24	CD Guadalajara - Villanovense	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Villanovense - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Villanovense - Mensajero	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.01.24	Villanovense - Ursaria	3:0

Ursaria - Villanovense