Match Info
SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Illescas |
|
Ursaria |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.88 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.75 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.9 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.34 |
2.85 |
3.42 |
|
 |
2.34 |
2.85 |
3.42 |
|
 |
2.32 |
2.79 |
3.42 |
|
 |
2.21 |
2.85 |
3.4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.03) |
2.84 ↓
(3.03) |
3.34 ↓
(3.68) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Illescas
40.2% | Draw
32.4% | Ursaria
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illescas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-3.7%)Illescas - Ursaria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 1 - 0, Mingo ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Alcalde J. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 2, Perez F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12). Illescas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Ursaria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Illescas will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Illescas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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