Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 16

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Ursus Warszawa		Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.77
	3.4	3.75	1.82
	3.35	3.65	1.86
	3.33	3.68	1.87
	3.6	3.68	1.82	Watch
	3	3.7	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.15)	3.68 ↑ (3.55)	1.85 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursus Warszawa
26.7%

Draw
24.5%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

25.6%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

24.8%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Ursus Warszawa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tomaszów Mazowiecki will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1.

Ursus Warszawa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Tomaszów Mazowiecki to win the game is with odds 1.86.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.11.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Ursus Warszawa	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Ursus Warszawa - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Ursus Warszawa - Legionovia Legionowo	1:3 ✺
08.10.22	Unia Skierniewice - Ursus Warszawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.11.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Błonianka Błonie - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
08.10.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.05.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	0:3
13.10.21	Ursus Warszawa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:5
10.04.21	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	1:0
13.03.21	Ursus Warszawa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2
31.08.19	Ursus Warszawa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2
15.06.19	Ursus Warszawa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	4:4
04.11.18	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	0:0

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