Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 33

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Uxbridge		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.4	2.25
	2.68	3.42	2.38
	2.66	3.8	2.32	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.3
	2.81	3.75	2.24
	2.45	3.52	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.4)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	2.31 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uxbridge
34.5%

Draw
26%

Havant & Waterlooville
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.9%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

24.8%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uxbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uxbridge than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Uxbridge - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Lawal J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, Moore G. ⚽,
78', 3 - 0, Lawal J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uxbridge won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Uxbridge: 5.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	19:8	11	20
21	Havant & W	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uxbridge
English Southern League South Division
21.02.26	Uxbridge - Weymouth	5:1 ✺
14.02.26	Farnham Town - Uxbridge	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Uxbridge - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Yate Town - Uxbridge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWTL
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
21.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Bracknell Town	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Uxbridge	3:3

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