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Current Win Probability
Vélez Sársfield 50.1%
Draw 30.9%
San Martín de San Juan 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
29.5%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
24.7%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86%
7%
7%
Vélez Sársfield - San Martín de San Juan Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(49 of 56 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.84% – 96.16%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 21. Gordon J. 34. Fernandez D. 31. Gomez V. 3. Gomez E. 19. Roldan L. 26. Bouzat A. (C) 28. Carrizo M. 10. Montoro A. 47. Bosch B. 9. Braian Romero
1. Borgogno M. (G) 4. Molina A. 2. Caseres R. 26. Lopes H. 3. Alvarez L. 22. Jaurena S. 5. Pelaitay N. (C) 27. Fernandez T. 10. Gonzalez S. 28. Iacobellis M. 32. Anselmo F.
Substitutes
41. Acuna M. 43. Andrada I. 45. Bussio F. 18. Fernandez M. 48. Gomez I. 36. Montoro F. 11. Pellegrini M. 20. Pizzini F. 46. Porcel M. 12. Rodriguez R. (G) 7. Santos M. 40. Silvero T.
12. Bonansea F. (G) 7. Casa M. 15. Cavallaro J. 30. Diarte L. 9. Gonzalez F. 29. Lecanda T. 37. Menendez J. 23. Olguin G. 16. Portillo A. 6. Recalde L. 25. Toloza F. 21. Watson N.
Coaches
Dominguez S.
Antuna R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Montoro A. 🟨,
36', Pelaitay N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jaurena S. ↓, Watson N. ↑,
56', Braian Romero 🟨,
62', Montoro A. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
62', Bosch B. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
63', Fernandez T. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
63', Gonzalez S. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
67', Iacobellis M. 🟥,
70', Caseres R. 🟨,
74', Roldan L. 🟨,
75', Roldan L. ↓, Porcel M. ↑,
75', Gordon J. ↓, Bussio F. ↑,
77', Anselmo F. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
80', Fernandez D. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Braian Romero ⚽, Andrada I. (A),
83', Pelaitay N. ↓, Casa M. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 1.
The competitors look crappy now.
San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Vélez is a favorite.
There will not play in Vélez: Andrada I.
(Injury)
Cavanagh T.
(Inactive)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Lagos A.
(Injury)
Monzon F.
(Injury)
Pernicone P.
(Red Card)
Quiros A.
(Red Card)
Santos M.
(Injury)
There will not play in San Martín: Burgos E.
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Vélez won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.9:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
Argentina
Brazil
Usa
Venezuela
World
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Marchiori T. (G) 
Acuna M. 
Rodriguez R. (G) 
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