Match Info

Date: 10 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki (Nagasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.65	3.55	5.2
	1.68	3.45	4.9
	1.69	3.81	5.43
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.71	3.7	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.41)	3.57 ↓ (4)	5.17 ↓ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
55.7%

Draw
26.2%

Grulla Morioka
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.7%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

21.5%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that V-Varen Nagasaki's form might have worsened.

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grulla Morioka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for V-Varen Nagasaki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grulla Morioka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	15.8%	10.5%

V Varen Nagasaki - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 19).

V-Varen Nagasaki is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Grulla Morioka is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grulla Morioka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match V-Varen Nagasaki is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's V-Varen Nagasaki to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 1 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
06.07.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata	1:1 ✺
02.07.22	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
25.06.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Blaublitz Akita	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Tokyo - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:3 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
18.06.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTWW
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J2 League
06.07.22	Grulla Morioka - Ryūkyū	0:1 ✺
02.07.22	Grulla Morioka - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
26.06.22	Tochigi - Grulla Morioka	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Grulla Morioka	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
18.06.22	Grulla Morioka - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
04.05.22	Grulla Morioka - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:4

Upcoming Matches