Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 36

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Peace Stadium (Nagasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	4.5	Watch
	1.63	3.7	4.2
	1.68	4	4.33	Watch
	1.72	4.17	4.7
	1.71	3.97	4.4	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.33
	1.67	3.95	4.34	Watch
	1.68	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)	3.94 ↓ (4.03)	4.39 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
55.4%

Draw
23.5%

Kagoshima United
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

21.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Kagoshima United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

V Varen Nagasaki - Kagoshima United Predictions

Users Predictions: V-Varen Nagasaki will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Wakahara T. (G) 8. Masuyama A. 4. Valdo 5. Tanaka H. 23. Yoneda S. 24. Yamada R. 35. Abe T. 14. Nagura T. 7. Marcos Guilherme 6. Matheus Jesus 33. Kasayanagi T.	1. Izumori R. (G) 17. Hoshi K. 5. Ibayashi A. 28. Tone I. 14. Nodake H. 8. Fujimura K. 27. Yamaguchi T. 21. Tanaka W. 34. Suzuki S. 20. Endo M. 38. Arita R.
Substitutes
44. Aoki Y. 31. Harada G. (G) 9. Juanma Delgado 25. Kushibiki K. 45. Matsumoto T. 38. Matsuzawa K. 20. Nakamura K.	9. Arita K. 18. Fukuda M. 16. Kawano R. 13. Matsuyama K. (G) 32. Numata T. 23. Okamoto S. 6. Watanabe E.
Coaches
Shimotaira T.	Asano T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Nagura T. ⚽, Marcos Guilherme (A),
43', 2 - 0, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Nagura T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Endo M. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
57', 3 - 0, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Marcos Guilherme (A),
61', 3 - 1, Tanaka W. ⚽, Nodake H. (A),
62', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
62', Kasayanagi T. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
69', Nagura T. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
70', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
71', Arita R. ↓, Arita K. ↑,
79', Abe T. ↓, Aoki Y. ↑,
79', Tanaka H. ↓, Kushibiki K. ↑,
81', 4 - 1, Masuyama A. ⚽, Matsuzawa K. (A),
89', Hoshi K. ↓, Watanabe E. ↑,
89', Fujimura K. ↓, Kawano R. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

V-Varen Nagasaki is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kagoshima United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

V-Varen Nagasaki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match V-Varen Nagasaki is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's V-Varen Nagasaki to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 4 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
20.10.24	Blaublitz Akita - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Oita Trinita	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Iwaki - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW
- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 League
19.10.24	Kagoshima United - Ehime	4:0 ✺
06.10.24	Yokohama FC - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Kagoshima United - Mito HollyHock	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Tochigi - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Kagoshima United - Roasso Kumamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
18.05.24	Kagoshima United - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:3
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kagoshima United	1:0
Japan J2 League
27.07.19	Kagoshima United - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2
27.04.19	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kagoshima United	0:0

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