Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki (Nagasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.72	3.4	4.8
	1.82	3.35	4.2
	1.87	3.43	4.8
	1.83	3.2	4
	1.83	3.54	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.61)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	4.41 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
51.1%

Draw
27.8%

Ryūkyū
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.8%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.1%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that V-Varen Nagasaki's form might have worsened.

Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for V-Varen Nagasaki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	10.5%	21.1%

V Varen Nagasaki - Ryūkyū Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Ryūkyū will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently V-Varen Nagasaki have a series of guest games.

In this match V-Varen Nagasaki is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
06.08.22	Tokyo Verdy - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
30.07.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Albirex Niigata	2:2 ✺
23.07.22	Vegalta Sendai - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
17.07.22	Machida Zelvia - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
13.07.22	Avispa Fukuoka - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWWL
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 League
06.08.22	Ventforet Kofu - Ryūkyū	5:2 ✺
30.07.22	Ryūkyū - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0 ✺
23.07.22	Tokushima Vortis - Ryūkyū	0:0 ✺
17.07.22	Ryūkyū - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
10.07.22	Ryūkyū - Vegalta Sendai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
11.06.22	Ryūkyū - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2
04.09.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ryūkyū	3:1
20.03.21	Ryūkyū - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:1
15.11.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ryūkyū	0:1
15.07.20	Ryūkyū - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1
10.08.19	Ryūkyū - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:2
29.06.19	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ryūkyū	3:2

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