Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 5 July 2023, Wednesday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)


	Tokyo Verdy		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.9	3.35	4
	2.02	3.35	4.17
	1.91	3	3.7
	1.99	3.28	4	Watch
	1.93	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.12)	3.25 (3.25)	3.94 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
47.9%

Draw
28.5%

V-Varen Nagasaki
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

27.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and V-Varen Nagasaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Tokyo Verdy - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vidotto M. (G) 6. Miyahara K. 16. Yamakoshi K. 3. Taniguchi H. 2. Fukazawa D. 7. Morita K. 8. Saito K. 23. Tsunashima Y. 29. Kawamura K. 27. Yamada G. 20. Kitajima Y.	21. Hatano G. (G) 5. Okui R. 3. Okano J. 25. Kushibiki K. 23. Yoneda S. 6. Kuwasaki Y. 10. Cesar C. 8. Masuyama A. 13. Kato M. 19. Sawada T. 9. Juanma Delgado
Substitutes
40. Arai Y. 15. Chida K. 41. Iida M. (G) 25. Inami T. 26. Kato R. 22. Koda H. 11. Sakano T.	35. Abe T. 7. Cristiano 18. Imazu Y. 33. Kasayanagi T. 34. Satsukida S. 27. Tokura K. 1. Tomizawa M. (G)
Coaches
Jofuku H.	Carille F.

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 2.

Tokyo Verdy in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches V-Varen Nagasaki is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tokyo Verdy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tokyo Verdy is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo Verdy won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
02.07.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	Montedio Yamagata - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:2 ✺
11.06.23	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTWW
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
01.07.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:2 ✺
24.06.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	5:1 ✺
17.06.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Machida Zelvia - V-Varen Nagasaki	4:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
07.05.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy	1:2
06.08.22	Tokyo Verdy - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0
19.02.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy	1:1
07.11.21	Tokyo Verdy - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:3
25.04.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy	1:1
13.12.20	Tokyo Verdy - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2
02.08.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy	0:0

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