Match Info

3rd Division - Promotion Group - Round 32

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Vejlby Stadium (Aarhus)


	VSK Aarhus		Holbæk

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.9
	2.11	3.5	2.8
	2.67	3.61	2.31
				Watch
	2.61	3.58	2.34
	2.26	3.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.07)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)	2.58 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VSK Aarhus
38.9%

Draw
25.8%

Holbæk
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

24.7%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

24%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VSK Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VSK Aarhus's form might have worsened.

Holbæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VSK Aarhus than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VSK Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holbæk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

VSK Aarhus - Holbæk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. VSK Aarhus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
53', 1 - 2, ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, ⚽,
67', 2 - 3, ⚽,
79', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

VSK Aarhus is Qualified for 2nd Division

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VSK Aarhus won 2.

VSK Aarhus is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Holbæk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

VSK Aarhus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

VSK Aarhus could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, VSK Aarhus won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, VSK Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

VSK Aarhus - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.18%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VSK Aarhus
Danish 3 Division
06.06.25	Næsby - VSK Aarhus	2:3 ✺
31.05.25	VSK Aarhus - Brønshøj BK	2:0 ✺
23.05.25	Odder - VSK Aarhus	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Brabrand - VSK Aarhus	1:1 ✺
14.05.25	VSK Aarhus - Næsby	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTTW
- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
09.06.25	Holbæk - Brønshøj BK	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Brabrand - Holbæk	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Holbæk - Næsby	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Holbæk - Odder	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Brønshøj BK - Holbæk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
19.04.25	Holbæk - VSK Aarhus	2:2
05.04.25	VSK Aarhus - Holbæk	3:2
24.08.24	Holbæk - VSK Aarhus	2:0
15.06.24	VSK Aarhus - Holbæk	4:3
14.04.24	Holbæk - VSK Aarhus	1:1
23.03.24	VSK Aarhus - Holbæk	0:1
12.08.23	Holbæk - VSK Aarhus	0:3

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