Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	VVV-Venlo		Twente

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.65	Watch
	4.33	4.33	1.7
	4.4	4.4	1.67	Watch
	4.3	4.2	1.67
	4.4	4.54	1.71
	4.2	4.2	1.7	Watch
	4.4	4.3	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.94)	4.31 ↑ (4.03)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
21.7%

Draw
22%

Twente
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

23.6%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

19.7%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Twente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.9%	14.9%	70.2%

VVV Venlo - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 7 - 14.9%). Twente will win (votes: 33 - 70.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 57.1% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Europa League to Play Offs)).

Venlo has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Twente has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Venlo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Twente is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Venlo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Twente is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Venlo won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Venlo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.12.20	Almere City - VVV-Venlo	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.20	VVV-Venlo - Feyenoord	0:3 ✺
05.12.20	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	3:2 ✺
28.11.20	VVV-Venlo - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
21.11.20	Willem II - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLTL
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.20	Twente - AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
05.12.20	Ajax - Twente	1:2 ✺
27.11.20	Twente - Waalwijk	0:2 ✺
22.11.20	Twente - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
07.11.20	ADO Den Haag - Twente	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
24.11.19	VVV-Venlo - Twente	2:1
Club Friendly
27.07.18	VVV-Venlo - Twente	2:1
Dutch Eredivisie
01.04.18	VVV-Venlo - Twente	0:0
19.08.17	Twente - VVV-Venlo	1:2
21.04.13	VVV-Venlo - Twente	2:2
02.09.12	Twente - VVV-Venlo	1:0
06.05.12	VVV-Venlo - Twente	4:2

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