Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 34

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Covebo Stadion - De Koel (Venlo)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	VVV-Venlo		Groningen

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.62
	4.8	3.8	1.58
	5	4	1.63
	5.42	4.01	1.66
	5.42	4.02	1.64
	5	3.9	1.55
	5.06	4.05	1.61	Watch
	4.9	3.9	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (4.8)	3.94 ↓ (4.08)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
18.5%

Draw
23.7%

Groningen
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

21.9%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for VVV-Venlo aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

VVV Venlo - Groningen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. van Crooij D. (G) 21. Rutten M. 4. Ketting R. (C) 15. Henderikx S. 5. Janssen S. 8. Sierra E. 13. Sedlacek R. 17. Berden M. 14. Smans L. 11. Verheijen T. 9. Kosidis M.	21. Jurjus H. (G) 8. Bacuna L. (C) 5. Rente M. 43. Peersman M. 18. Maatta I. 14. Schreuders J. 7. Hove J. 6. Duarte L. 40. Valente L. 29. Postema R. 25. van Bergen T.
Substitutes
1. de Boer J. (G) 18. Doesburg P. 44. Kaastrup M. 16. Klaasen R. 12. Kluskens J. 2. Lathouwers R. 24. Odriss M. 7. Robberechts M. 22. Schrick T. (G) 37. van Zutphen D.	45. Baron D. (G) 26. Beukers D. 20. Blokzijl T. 67. Bouland S. 47. de Jonge T. 22. Emeran N. 46. Kuiper J. 36. Mariani M. 44. Meijster J. (G) 27. Mendes R. 4. Pelupessy J. 38. Slor K.
Coaches
Kruys R.	Lukkien D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Maatta I. ↓, Blokzijl T. ↑,
63', Rutten M. ↓, van Zutphen D. ↑,
71', van Bergen T. ↓, Mendes R. ↑,
71', Verheijen T. ↓, Doesburg P. ↑,
72', Sedlacek R. ↓, Odriss M. ↑,
72', Berden M. ↓, Robberechts M. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Schreuders J. ⚽, Peersman M. (A),
84', Duarte L. ↓, Pelupessy J. ↑,
90+4', Ketting R. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venlo won 2.

Recent matches Venlo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Groningen is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Groningen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Groningen is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Venlo won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Venlo won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.04.24	Roda - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	VVV-Venlo - FC Oss	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Willem II - VVV-Venlo	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	NAC Breda - VVV-Venlo	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.04.24	Groningen - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Emmen - Groningen	0:3 ✺
29.03.24	ADO Den Haag - Groningen	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Groningen - De Graafschap	4:2 ✺
11.03.24	Jong PSV - Groningen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.12.23	Groningen - VVV-Venlo	2:1
Dutch Eredivisie
03.04.21	VVV-Venlo - Groningen	0:1
31.10.20	Groningen - VVV-Venlo	2:1
22.02.20	Groningen - VVV-Venlo	0:1
14.09.19	VVV-Venlo - Groningen	2:1
03.03.19	Groningen - VVV-Venlo	3:2
09.12.18	VVV-Venlo - Groningen	0:0

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